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The identification of children at risk of high <= span style=3D'font-size:64%'>cost/high harm adult outcomes, policy = implications

leon feinstein
institute of educ= ation, london
nov 2= 007

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Mortality rates per 100,000 men aged 20-64, by skill-based occupational classification, England and Wales, 1991-3

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Increase in probability of multiple deprivation in adulthood by number of sweeps in soc= ial housing in childhood, males

1.57***

2.06***

0.58

0.15

-0.05

0.33

0.94

0.59

-0.38

-1.37

Impact

Age

Cohort

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Increase in probability of multiple deprivation in adulthood by number of sweeps in social housing in childhood, females

2.13***=

34

70

2.93***=

30

70

1.24***=

26

70

0.45

46

58

1.91***=

42

58

1.59***=

33

58

0.87

23

58

2.32***=

53

46

0.4

43

46

0.32

36

46

Impact

Age

Cohort

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Effects of EMA on youth offending

-1.551

(0.470)***

-1.367

(0.403)***

EMA-RBI * policy-on

-0.048

(0.295)=

-0.595

(0.247)**

RBI*policy-on

-0.137

(0.603)=

-0.780

(0.648)=

EMA*policy-on

-0.541

(0.559)=

2.874

(1.011)***

EMA-RBI

0.183

(0.197)=

0.934

(0.331)***

RBI

0.283

(0.343)=

1.447

(0.792)*

EMA

(Full <= /span>controls)

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THE CHILD<= span style=3D'mso-special-format:lastCR;display:none'>

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Relative cognitive shifts, 22m to 10y

High Q= at 22m

Low Q = at 22m

Source: Feinstein, L. (2003) ‘Inequality in the Early Cognitive Development = of British Children in the 1970 Cohort’, Economica (70) 27= 7, 73-97

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R0lGODlhDwAmAHcAMSH+GlNvZnR3YXJlOiBNaWNyb3NvZnQgT2ZmaWNlACH5BAEAAAAALAQAAgAJ ACEAgAAAAAAAAAIxhBGnkWrcFpTzwCjdw5Zv/YCI6H0aA6JnqZ7ki2BoFcfTfN1XbTfy7NgFaZtW hxUoAAA7 ------=_NextPart_01C8334D.7FEE2130 Content-Location: file:///C:/236BA18E/Leon_Feinstein_files/slide0050.htm Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Content-Type: text/html; charset="us-ascii" Slide 1

Relative cognitive shifts, 7 -11, by <= span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-size:91%'>SES, 1958 Cohort

Source: Feinstein, L. ‘Schools and Educational Attainment’, Oxfo= rd Review of Economic Policy, (in press)
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Probability of being in workless household with ch= ildren at age = 30

Source: Feinstein, L. and By= nner, J. (Dec 2003), ‘The benefits of assets in childhood as protection against adult social exclusion: the relative effects of financial, human, social and psychological assets’, Note to HM Treasury.

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file:///C:/236BA18E/Leon_Feinstein_files/slide0039.htm Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Content-Type: text/html; charset="us-ascii" Slide 1

Identifying risk<= /span>

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Probability of multiple deprivation in adulthood by childhood risk at age 10

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Risk continuity: Multiple adult deprivation age 30, BCS

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597L/vhv/iqP+Fh6v/z72X/fDf8AxVAHo9Fecf8ACw9X/wCfey/74b/4qj/hYer/APPvZf8AfDf/ ABVAHo9Fecf8LD1f/n3sv++G/wDiqP8AhYer/wDPvZf98N/8VQAfHH/kTLP/ALCKf+i5KK5L4keK 7/W/D0FtcxW6ol2rgxqwOdjjuT60UAf/2Q== ------=_NextPart_01C8334D.7FEE2130 Content-Location: file:///C:/236BA18E/Leon_Feinstein_files/slide0041.htm Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Content-Type: text/html; charset="us-ascii" Slide 1

Policy implicatio= ns:

Towar= ds an intelligent, universal syste= m with diversity= 3;

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What are schools for?

<= span style=3D'font-size:88%'>•Economic productivity

<= span style=3D'font-size:88%'>•Social mobility

<= span style=3D'font-size:88%'>•Social justice

<= span style=3D'font-size:88%'>•Citizenship

<= span style=3D'font-size:88%'>•Social cohesion

<= span style=3D'font-size:88%'>•Global sustainability

<= span style=3D'font-size:88%'>•Moral development

<= span style=3D'font-size:88%'>•The realisation of potential

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Mathematics

Drama

Media studies

Food <= span style=3D'position:absolute;top:50.0%;left:0%;width:100.0%;height:50.0%'>sciences

ART

English = literature

Literacy =

Politics

Medicine
PSHE =

Science =

Foreign Languages=

Sport =

History

Car mechanics

Business studies

Sexual health

Music =

Journalism

Nu= rsing

Architecture

Law

ICT =

Religious studies=

Geography

Hairdressing

Circle time

Show and tell

Dance

VolunteeringDiscipline

The natural world <= /div>

Astronomy

Film-making

Citizenship

Public administration

Driving

Design

Plumbing

There is a lot to learn, know and do

Crafts

Information managemen<= span style=3D'font-family:Techno;font-size:133%;color:aqua'>t

Research skills

Critical thinking<= span style=3D'font-family:Times;font-size:133%;color:lime;mso-special-format:la= stCR; display:none'>

Economics

Engineering

Conservation=

Time management

Fashion <= /span>

Biochemistry

Hygiene

Play

Interpersonal relationships

Classics

Social science

Psychology

Neuroscience

Accountancy

Parenting skil= ls

Customer awareness

Problem solving

Team working

Self-mana= gement

Entrepreneurship

Caring

Learning to learn

Careers

Engagement in learning<= span style=3D'font-family:Times;font-size:133%;color:#01FF23;mso-special-format= :lastCR; display:none'>

Cycling

Public speaking

Finance

Clothing & textiles

Anger management

Diet & nutrition <= /div>
Philosophy

Self-control

Britishness

Project work

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